Rockets vs. Jazz odds, Game 4: NBA playoffs 2018 picks from data scientist who's 18-11 - CBSSports.com

Rockets vs. Jazz odds, Game 4: NBA playoffs 2018 picks from data scientist who's 18-11 - CBSSports.com

The Jazz will try to even their second-round 2018 NBA playoff series on Sunday when they host the Rockets in Game 4. Houston opened as a 5-point favorite and now is laying 6. The over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 208.5. Before picking either side, you need to read what SportsLine data scientist Stephen Oh has to say.

Oh, the co-founder of AccuScore who specializes in sports simulations, projections and advanced statistical analysis, has nailed 18 of his previous 29 picks involving the Rockets.

Oh, who also has a strong analytical background, has now examined every matchup, every player and every trend for Houston vs. Utah in the NBA playoffs -- including a massive X Factor you're not even considering -- and locked in his strong against-the-spread selection.

Oh knows the Jazz can cover the spread, or win outright, if their starting five can get some penetration in the lane. Amazingly, Utah's Game 3 starters didn't shoot a single free throw. Utah's over-reliance on the three-ball was evident after getting dug into an early hole and trying to play catch-up.

The Jazz also need to get center Rudy Gobert going quickly. He shot 6-for-8 from the field in limited minutes.

The Rockets can cover the spread if they're more accurate from beyond the arc. Houston's lone weakness on Friday was its collective 3-point shooting, only 11-for-36. James Harden and Chris Paul were a combined 3-for-15 outside the arc. They will need to shoot better than that against a more defensively focused Utah squad.

So which side of Rockets-Jazz do you need to be all over? Visit SportsLine now to see the strong point-spread pick by Oh, who is 18-11 on against the spread picks involving the Rockets, and find out.

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